Oscar quick reax

List here.

• Good Night has good luck, Walk the Line gets served
• Matt Dillon gets the Crash nom that I thought would go to Terrence Howard, but Howard won't be upset
• If you told me a year ago Keira Knightley would get a Best Actress nom, I wouldn't have been surprised. If you told me I wouldn't be upset, I'd be astonished.
  
• Final prediction score: an abysmal 2/40 (no Maria Bello? Bastards.)
• You know the highlight's gonna be the performance of "It's Hard Out There for a Pimp". Let Taraji sing!
  

Probably accurate predictions!
Picture - Brokeback
Director - Ang
Actress - Reese
Actor - Close: PSH has the lead but Mumbly Joe might get swept in with Brokeback fever
Supp. actress - Weisz
Supp. actor - Wide open, but you know the Academy wants to give Clooney something
Screenplay - Crash or Good Night (coinflip)
Adaptation - Brokeback
Foreign - Joyeux Noel (inspirational!)
Doc - Penguins
Toon - Wallace & Gromit